See also: What Credit Rating of a Financial Institution that ran out of Cash Last Week?
As late as June 2009 SCF was successful at issuing $125m of 3 year bonds (the offer was fully over-subscribed). However, since June 2009, it is all down hill for SCF:
2nd July 2009 Comments from S&P reported saying that SCF's BBB- rating is partly based on support from Allan Hubbard
7th July 2009 SCF rating outlook lowered to negative on weaker [credit] profile
13th August 2009 Marac, South Canterbury Finance lose investment grade ratings at S&P
Both South Island finance companies were cut to BB+, a junk rating, from BBB-, the lowest investment level.
16 Sep 2009 South Canterbury Finance, the finance company owned by Allan Hubbard, halted allotments under its debenture programme and plans to issue a new prospectus pending its capital review and the extension of the Deposit Guarantee Scheme.
21st September 2009 South Canterbury Finance Ltd had its credit rating placed on Creditwatch Negative by Standard & Poor’s, which said the finance company’s risk profile has deteriorated since the rating was cut to speculative grade last month.
“Our concerns center on increasing pressure on liquidity; still-weak asset quality; and governance matters including, but not limited to, related party exposures,” said S&P credit analyst Derryl D’silva, in a statement emailed to BusinessWire.
20 Oct 2009 South Canterbury Finance (SCF) has registered a new prospectus for the issue of debenture stocks and deposit. In the prospectus the company states:
In the Company’s view, Standard & Poor’s considered that the United States private placement investors were continuing to review their funding support for the Company, and that if they decided to require repayment of the facility, that would, potentially, significantly exacerbate liquidity concerns and cause a downward revision of the Company’s rating by multiple notches, potentially into the ‘B’ rating category. [emphasis added]
29 Oct 2009 South Canterbury Finance granted a prior charge secured NZ$75m funding facility, and fully draws it down, and uses it to pay the US$45m notes that were due 4 days earlier.
24 Dec 2009 BB+ Rating Affirmed
02 March 2010
South Canterbury downgraded to BB; may be cut below guarantee threshold within 3 months
See also my postSouth Canterbury Finance Downgraded to BB, Watch Negative
6 May 2010
S&P maintained its BB (credit watch negative) rating on South Canterbury Finance’s long term debt
28th May 2010
S&P downgrades SCF's long term rating to B+ and short term rating to B.
22 June 2010 S&P downgrades SCF long term rating two notches to B- and short term 4 notches to C, and puts on Credit Watch Negative.
20 August 2010, S&P downgrades SCF's long term rating two notches to CC. (The short term rating cannot be downgraded anymore other than to D for default.)


5 comments:
Hi David,
Thanks for your comment on my site.
I see you have a keen interest in SCF - I don't know much about SCF (who does) but I would think that the USPP would be pretty happy to get the first tranche payment + a $15m fee.
I don't think they would be too concerned if the payment was made a few days late. The next tranche will be the interesting one.
ps. I enjoy reading your blog - any reason for your particular focus on SCF ?
Hi, thanks for your comment and opinion about the late payment of the notes.
It appears to me that the US note holders are no longer happy to be secured creditors in SCF, and I wonder if SCF offered them prior charge security (it is within the amount allowed in their trust deed) but they still said no? It appears they only accepted the deferred payment terms because that was as fast as SCF can pay it.
I'm interested in SCF because:
1. It is large, the 10th largest financial institution in NZ. (similar to Development Finance Company, which was the 7th largest before it failed)
2. Its deposits are guaranteed by the crown,
3. Its position is quite bad, and the crown could end up paying out a lot to make its depositors whole, and
4. I wish to draw people's attention to the cost and risk of the crown deposit guarantee scheme.
5. People seem hungry for news and analysis of the problems at SCF
Any idea on what Kerr's $75m investment will end up as ?
I figure he could be waiting for an opportune time for SCF to be in distress, and when he has the chance to rescue SCF on his own terms, i.e. to wipe out ordinary shareholders and perhaps the preferred ones too. Then he can convert the $75m prior charge secured facility into 90%+ ownership, and bring it into the PGC fold. Maybe. Or he could walk away and get his money back with penalties and interest and no loss, since he's now first in the queue, if he thinks that would be thowing good money after bad. Maybe he wants to get the crown to come to the party, too (however, I expect the crown would be unlikely to entertain rescue of SCF. (just don't remind me about what Jonkey said about F&P appliances, and perhaps on second thoughts, I've noticed that the pollies don't have the balls to see a few zombie financial institutions closed).
good play from Kerr then ... wont be long before he taps the market again, this time via a fund management vehicle
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